OG · pick 171 — first ever offensive guard at #171 (1967)

OG·pick 171

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #171

John Elliott

Drafted by NYJ · Texas

1967 · earliest year in the data window

OGs drafted at #171 in NFL history

most recent: Miles Frazier (DET, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Offensive guard at #171, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 20.9% · 2027 model: 15.1%

Surrounding picks · 1967 draft

#166OTTed TuinstraDET
#167CBBobby BryantMIN
#168QBBruce MatteWAS
#169WRJohn TruittCHI
#170SMilt JacksonSF
#172WRJohn LoveWAS
#173STDavid ConwayLAC
#174SJohn WilliamsPHI
#175STJoe RandallARI
#176DTRon LewellenLV

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2025Miles FrazierDET — GM Brad Holmes · LSU
2022Luke WattenbergDEN — GM George Paton · Washington

→ see this cell on the full chart