OG · pick 170 — first ever offensive guard at #170 (2001)

OG·pick 170

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #170

Chad Ward

Drafted by JAX — GM Tom Coughlin · Washington

2001

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2000, the model gave a offensive guard at #170 a 7.5% chance in 2001.

Offensive guard at #170, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 20.9% · 2027 model: 15.1%

Surrounding picks · 2001 draft

#165CBMichael JamesonCLE — GM Dwight Clark
#166WRBobby NewcombeARI — GM Bob Ferguson
#167DERandy GarnerATL — GM Harold Richardson
#168LBRiall JohnsonCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#169WRCedrick WilsonSF — GM Bill Walsh
#171DTDaleroy StewartDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#172QBJosh BootySEA — GM Mike Holmgren
#173LBJason GlennDET — GM Matt Millen
#174RBJameel CookTB — GM Rich McKay
#175RBDee BrownCAR — GM Dom Anile

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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