OG · pick 168 — first ever offensive guard at #168 (1979)

OG·pick 168

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #168

Max Montoya

Drafted by CIN · UCLA

1979

OGs drafted at #168 in NFL history

most recent: Braxton Jones (CHI, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1978, the model gave a offensive guard at #168 a 6.6% chance in 1979.

Offensive guard at #168, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 20.9% · 2027 model: 15.0%

Surrounding picks · 1979 draft

#163DTRonan, JimJim RonanCLE
#164WRChris DeFranceDAL
#165STMatt BahrPIT
#166RBPhil FrancisSF
#167DEKen KremerKC
#169LBLarry PolowskiSEA
#170TETom MulladyBUF
#172TESteve AlversNYG
#173WRKirk GibsonARI
#174LBLee KunzCHI

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

2022Braxton JonesCHI — GM Ryan Poles · Southern Utah
2016Spencer DrangoCLE — GM Sashi Brown · Baylor
2011Demarcus LoveMIN — GM Rick Spielman · Arkansas
2003Sean MahanTB — GM Rich McKay · Notre Dame
1999Yusuf ScottARI — GM Bob Ferguson · Arizona

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