OG · pick 164 — first ever offensive guard at #164 (1986)

OG·pick 164

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #164

Doug Marrone

Drafted by LV — GM Al Davis · Syracuse

1986

OGs drafted at #164 in NFL history

most recent: Isaac Asiata (MIA, 2017)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1985, the model gave a offensive guard at #164 a 7.0% chance in 1986.

Offensive guard at #164, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 20.9% · 2027 model: 14.9%

Surrounding picks · 1986 draft

#159WRKeith WilliamsATL — GM Ken Herock
#160RBLynn WilliamsLAR — GM John Shaw
#161WRMark JacksonDEN — GM John Beake
#162CBDon GriffinSF — GM John McVay
#163DTBrent SowellMIA — GM Don Shula
#165CBKevin WalkerTB — GM Phil Krueger
#166RBJeff PowellCHI — GM Jerry Vainisi
#167OTJim MeyerCLE — GM Ernie Accorsi
#168TEBob WilliamsBUF — GM Bill Polian
#169WRCorn RedickPHI — GM Harry Gamble

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2017Isaac AsiataMIA — GM Chris Grier · Utah

→ see this cell on the full chart