OG · pick 161 — first ever offensive guard at #161 (1972)

OG·pick 161

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #161

Bill Adams

Drafted by MIA · Holy Cross

1972

OGs drafted at #161 in NFL history

most recent: Tommy Doyle (BUF, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1971, the model gave a offensive guard at #161 a 5.7% chance in 1972.

Offensive guard at #161, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 20.9% · 2027 model: 14.8%

Surrounding picks · 1972 draft

#154LBAnthony MartinMIN
#155LBRay NettlesMIA
#158RBSteve ConleyCIN
#159DEColquitt, JoeJoe ColquittPIT
#160DECouncil RudolphARI
#163DTBushong, BillBill BushongGB
#164CBErnie JacksonNO
#165TEClark HossNE
#166RBJohn TarverNE
#167QBJim FasselCHI

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 7 picks

2021Tommy DoyleBUF — GM Brandon Beane · Miami (OH)
2016Christian WestermanCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Arizona St.
2011Julian VanderveldePHI — GM Howie Roseman · Iowa
2010Chris DeGeareMIN — GM Rick Spielman · Wake Forest
2006Chris KuperDEN — GM Mike Shanahan · North Dakota
1999Tyrone HopsonSF — GM Bill Walsh · Eastern Kentucky
1974Noah JacksonIND · Tampa

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