Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 160

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #160

Gary Hertzog

Drafted by NO · Willamette

1967 · earliest year in the data window

6
OGs drafted at #160 in NFL history
most recent: Billy Schrauth (TB, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Offensive guard at #160, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%20.9%

Peak: 20.9% · 2027 model: 14.8%

Surrounding picks · 1967 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart