OG · pick 16 — first ever offensive guard at #16 (1980)

OG·pick 16

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #16

Jim Ritcher

Drafted by BUF — GM Stew Barber · North Carolina St.

1980

OGs drafted at #16 in NFL history

most recent: Zack Martin (DAL, 2014)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1979, the model gave a offensive guard at #16 a 6.1% chance in 1980.

Offensive guard at #16, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 34.8% · 2027 model: 24.5%

Surrounding picks · 1980 draft

#11OGBrad BuddeKC — GM Jim Schaaf
#12OTStan BrockNO — GM Ken Meyer/staff
#13RBEarl CooperSF — GM John McVay
#14SRoland JamesNE — GM Bucko Kilroy
#15QBMarc WilsonLV — GM Al Davis
#17CBJohnnie JohnsonLAR — GM Don Klosterman
#18WRArt MonkWAS — GM Bobby Beathard
#19LBOtis WilsonCHI — GM Jim Finks
#20DEJim StuckeySF — GM John McVay
#21CBDon McNealMIA — GM Don Shula

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2014Zack MartinDAL — GM Jerry Jones · Notre Dame
2004Shawn AndrewsPHI — GM Andy Reid · Arkansas
1994Aaron TaylorGB — GM Ron Wolf · Notre Dame

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