Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 156

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #156

Ed Newman

Drafted by MIA · Duke

1973

4
OGs drafted at #156 in NFL history
most recent: Jordan McFadden (LAC, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1972, the model gave a offensive guard at #156 a 6.8% chance in 1973.

Offensive guard at #156, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%20.9% 1973: 6.8%

Peak: 20.9% · 2027 model: 14.6%

Surrounding picks · 1973 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart