OG · pick 154 — first ever offensive guard at #154 (1974)

OG·pick 154

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #154

Booker Brown

Drafted by TEN · USC

1974

OGs drafted at #154 in NFL history

most recent: Marcus Mbow (NYG, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1973, the model gave a offensive guard at #154 a 6.9% chance in 1974.

Offensive guard at #154, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 20.9% · 2027 model: 14.6%

Surrounding picks · 1974 draft

#149DEJim WolfPIT
#150OGRick DruschelPIT
#151SJim BrightDAL
#152CBSinclair, RobinRobin SinclairCIN
#153CBBill BryantCIN
#155RBMark KellarMIN
#156OTWolfe, BobBob WolfeMIA
#157CBLeonard FairleyTEN
#158RBHarvey, JohnJohn HarveyLAR
#159TEWoolbright, MartyMarty WoolbrightNYG

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2025Marcus MbowNYG — GM Joe Schoen · Purdue
2002Jonathan GoodwinNYJ — GM Terry Bradway · Michigan
1994Tony SempleDET — GM Chuck Schmidt · Memphis

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