OG · pick 152 — first ever offensive guard at #152 (1996)

OG·pick 152

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #152

Chris Villarrial

Drafted by CHI — GM Rod Graves · Indiana (PA)

1996

OGs drafted at #152 in NFL history

most recent: Colby Sorsdal (DET, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1995, the model gave a offensive guard at #152 a 6.1% chance in 1996.

Offensive guard at #152, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 20.9% · 2027 model: 14.5%

Surrounding picks · 1996 draft

#147LBWhit MarshallPHI — GM Tom Modrak
#148SSean BoydMIN — GM Frank Gilliam
#149DTChristian PeterNE — GM Bill Parcells
#150DEShane BurtonMIA — GM Jimmy Johnson
#151DTSteve MartinIND — GM Bill Tobin
#153WRJermaine LewisBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#154LBZach ThomasMIA — GM Jimmy Johnson
#155DTJunior SoliLAC — GM Bobby Beathard
#156CBRaymond JacksonBUF — GM John Butler
#157OTKenneth McDanielDAL — GM Jerry Jones

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2023Colby SorsdalDET — GM Brad Holmes · William & Mary
2015Jarvis HarrisonNYJ — GM Mike Maccagnan · Texas A&M

→ see this cell on the full chart