OG · pick 151 — first ever offensive guard at #151 (1973)

OG·pick 151

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #151

Leyen, BobBob Leyen

Drafted by DAL · Yale

1973

OGs drafted at #151 in NFL history

most recent: Larry Borom (CHI, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1972, the model gave a offensive guard at #151 a 6.7% chance in 1973.

Offensive guard at #151, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 20.9% · 2027 model: 14.5%

Surrounding picks · 1973 draft

#146SBob JonesCIN
#147DTBrantley, WadeWade BrantleyNYG
#148SAndre, PhilPhil AndreARI
#149DTArthur MooreSF
#150SVan GreenCLE
#152LBTom TonerGB
#153OTMyers, BrentBrent MyersLV
#154WRSkolnik, GlennGlenn SkolnikPIT
#155CRick HarrellNYJ
#156OGEd NewmanMIA

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 7 picks

2021Larry BoromCHI — GM Ryan Pace · Missouri
2016Joe DahlDET — GM Bob Quinn · Washington St.
2012Senio KelemeteARI — GM Rod Graves · Washington
2010Chris ScottPIT — GM Kevin Colbert · Tennessee
1998Phil OstrowskiSF — GM Carmen Policy · Penn St.
1987Joe OnosaiDAL — GM Tex Schramm · Hawaii
1985Jeff DeatonNYJ — GM Jim Kensil · Stanford

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