OG · pick 15 — first ever offensive guard at #15 (1976)

OG·pick 15

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #15

Tom Glassic

Drafted by DEN · Virginia

1976

OGs drafted at #15 in NFL history

most recent: Kenyon Green (HOU, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a offensive guard at #15 a 5.8% chance in 1976.

Offensive guard at #15, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 35.5% · 2027 model: 24.9%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

#10CBJames HunterDET
#11WRBilly BrooksCIN
#12CPete BrockNE
#13DETroy ArcherNYG
#14OGRod WaltersKC
#16RBLawrence GainesDET
#17LBLarry GordonMIA
#18CBMario ClarkBUF
#19LBKim BokamperMIA
#20DTKen NovakIND

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2022Kenyon GreenHOU — GM Nick Caserio · Texas A&M
2011Mike PounceyMIA — GM Jeff Ireland · Florida
2008Branden AlbertKC — GM Carl Peterson · Virginia

→ see this cell on the full chart