Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 147

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #147

Pass, RandyRandy Pass

Drafted by NYG · Georgia Tech

1978

4
OGs drafted at #147 in NFL history
most recent: Jordan Morgan (CHI, 2017)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a offensive guard at #147 a 6.7% chance in 1978.

Offensive guard at #147, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%20.9% 1978: 6.7%

Peak: 20.9% · 2027 model: 14.4%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart