Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 146

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #146

Kurt Becker

Drafted by CHI — GM Jim Finks · Michigan

1982

3
OGs drafted at #146 in NFL history
most recent: Jeb Terry (TB, 2004)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1981, the model gave a offensive guard at #146 a 7.5% chance in 1982.

Offensive guard at #146, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%21.0% 1982: 7.5%

Peak: 21.0% · 2027 model: 14.4%

Surrounding picks · 1982 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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