OG · pick 138 — first ever offensive guard at #138 (1978)

OG·pick 138

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #138

Rosen, RichRich Rosen

Drafted by DAL · Syracuse

1978

OGs drafted at #138 in NFL history

most recent: Josh Ball (DAL, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a offensive guard at #138 a 6.8% chance in 1978.

Offensive guard at #138, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 21.1% · 2027 model: 14.2%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

#133SBruce ThreadgillSF
#134WRRobert WoodsKC
#135OGJohn ChomaLAC
#136TEDerrick RamseyLV
#137WRBrian DeRooNYG
#139RBJohn SkibinskiCHI
#140CDavis, TomTom DavisLV
#141CBBobby JacksonNYJ
#142QBRieker, MikeMike RiekerNO
#143DTGregg RobinsonNYJ

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

2021Josh BallDAL — GM Jerry Jones · Marshall
2018Cole MadisonGB — GM Brian Gutekunst · Washington St.
2004Jacob BellTEN — GM Floyd Reese · Miami (OH)
2000Matt JohnsonIND — GM Bill Polian · BYU
1980Craig WolfleyPIT — GM Dick Haley · Syracuse

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