Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 133

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #133

Doug Payton

Drafted by ATL · Colorado

1975

2
OGs drafted at #133 in NFL history
most recent: Tyronne Green (LAC, 2009)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1974, the model gave a offensive guard at #133 a 6.7% chance in 1975.

Offensive guard at #133, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%21.2% 1975: 6.7%

Peak: 21.2% · 2027 model: 14.1%

Surrounding picks · 1975 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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