OG · pick 129 — first ever offensive guard at #129 (1981)

OG·pick 129

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #129

Larry Lee

Drafted by DET — GM Russ Thomas · UCLA

1981

OGs drafted at #129 in NFL history

most recent: Jacques McClendon (IND, 2010)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1980, the model gave a offensive guard at #129 a 7.6% chance in 1981.

Offensive guard at #129, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 21.4% · 2027 model: 14.0%

Surrounding picks · 1981 draft

#124CTodd ThomasKC — GM Jim Schaaf
#125OTKen LanierDEN — GM Edgar Kaiser/staff
#126DEKen PooleMIA — GM Don Shula
#127WRRicky MartinPIT — GM Dick Haley
#128DTJerry BoyarskyNO — GM Ken Meyer/staff
#130DESteve ClarkNE — GM Bucko Kilroy
#131DEKeith FergusonLAC — GM Steve Ortmayer
#132OGGary SayreWAS — GM Bobby Beathard
#133LBDelbert FowlerTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg
#134STSteve CoxCLE — GM Art Modell/staff

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2010Jacques McClendonIND — GM Bill Polian · Tennessee
2005Dylan GandyIND — GM Bill Polian · Texas Tech
2000Michael MooreWAS — GM Vinny Cerrato · Troy
1999Edwin MulitaloBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome · Arizona

→ see this cell on the full chart