OG · pick 121 — first ever offensive guard at #121 (1978)

OG·pick 121

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #121

Amos Fowler

Drafted by DET · Southern Miss

1978

OGs drafted at #121 in NFL history

most recent: Logan Stenberg (DET, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a offensive guard at #121 a 7.1% chance in 1978.

Offensive guard at #121, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 21.7% · 2027 model: 14.0%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

#116LBMike DouglassGB
#117OTFrank MyersIND
#118DTCarey, DwightDwight CareyKC
#119OTLouis BullardSEA
#120CBTerry JacksonNYG
#122WRKeith WrightCLE
#123DEDan GrayDET
#124RBEarl CarrARI
#125WRDennis PearsonATL
#126LBTom DinkelCIN

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

2020Logan StenbergDET — GM Bob Quinn · Kentucky
1997Jerome DanielsMIA — GM Jimmy Johnson · Northeastern
1992Rod MilsteadDAL — GM Jerry Jones · Delaware St.
1991Gene WilliamsMIA — GM Don Shula · Iowa St.
1990Reggie ReddingATL — GM Ken Herock · Cal State-Fullerton
1979Hukill, BobBob HukillDAL · North Carolina

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