OG · pick 120 — first ever offensive guard at #120 (1972)

OG·pick 120

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #120

Childs, BobBob Childs

Drafted by LAR · Kansas

1972

OGs drafted at #120 in NFL history

most recent: Carter Warren (NYJ, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1971, the model gave a offensive guard at #120 a 5.7% chance in 1972.

Offensive guard at #120, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 21.7% · 2027 model: 14.0%

Surrounding picks · 1972 draft

#115DTDon CroftIND
#116TEBishop, JimJim BishopLAC
#117TEBob ParsonsCHI
#118WRJim KriegDEN
#119LBRalph CindrichATL
#121LBEdwards, LarryLarry EdwardsNYG
#122STGeorge HuntCLE
#123LBGreene, MikeMike GreeneSF
#124CBRon BoltonNE
#125TEBob ChristiansenLAR

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2023Carter WarrenNYJ — GM Joe Douglas · Pittsburgh
1997Jamie NailsBUF — GM John Butler · Florida A&M

→ see this cell on the full chart