OG · pick 119 — first ever offensive guard at #119 (1976)

OG·pick 119

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #119

Tom Rafferty

Drafted by DAL · Penn State

1976

OGs drafted at #119 in NFL history

most recent: Mason McCormick (PIT, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a offensive guard at #119 a 6.1% chance in 1976.

Offensive guard at #119, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 21.8% · 2027 model: 14.0%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

#114WRPat TilleyARI
#115WRArtie OwensLAC
#116OGGreg FairchildCIN
#117WRSteve LargentTEN
#118WRLeonard WillisMIN
#120WRTheo BellPIT
#121WRAppleby, RichardRichard ApplebyTB
#122OGRandy JohnsonSEA
#123RBAndrew BoltonSEA
#124OGEverett LittleTB

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2024Mason McCormickPIT — GM Omar Khan · South Dakota St.
1988Mike WithycombeNYJ — GM Jim Kensil · Fresno St.

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