OG · pick 116 — first ever offensive guard at #116 (1976)

OG·pick 116

FIRST OG EVER DRAFTED AT #116

Greg Fairchild

Drafted by CIN · Tulsa

1976

OGs drafted at #116 in NFL history

most recent: Ben Bartch (JAX, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a offensive guard at #116 a 6.1% chance in 1976.

Offensive guard at #116, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 21.9% · 2027 model: 14.0%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

#111DESmith, MikeMike SmithPHI
#112CBWonder MondsPIT
#113TERon SingletonLAC
#114WRPat TilleyARI
#115WRArtie OwensLAC
#117WRSteve LargentTEN
#118WRLeonard WillisMIN
#119OGTom RaffertyDAL
#120WRTheo BellPIT
#121WRAppleby, RichardRichard ApplebyTB

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2020Ben BartchJAX — GM David Caldwell · Saint John's (MN)
2013Earl WatfordARI — GM Steve Keim · James Madison
2002Martin BiblaATL — GM Harold Richardson · Miami (FL)
1982Perry HartnettCHI — GM Jim Finks · SMU

→ see this cell on the full chart