LB · pick 78 — first ever linebacker at #78 (1977)

LB·pick 78

FIRST LB EVER DRAFTED AT #78

Kurt Allerman

Drafted by ARI · Penn State

1977

LBs drafted at #78 in NFL history

most recent: Chazz Surratt (MIN, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1976, the model gave a linebacker at #78 a 15.4% chance in 1977.

Linebacker at #78, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 20.7% · 2027 model: 9.6%

Surrounding picks · 1977 draft

#73WRJohn KimbroughBUF
#74OGScribner, RickRick ScribnerGB
#75WRJim SmithPIT
#76RBMike VoightCIN
#77SKeith KingLAC
#79RBWendell TylerLAR
#80RBTerdell MiddletonARI
#81OGVal BelcherDAL
#82CBBrown, SidneySidney BrownNE
#83STom HannonMIN

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 7 picks

2021Chazz SurrattMIN — GM Rick Spielman · North Carolina
2018Malik JeffersonCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Texas
2017Tim WilliamsBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome · Alabama
2008Shawn CrableNE — GM Bill Belichick · Michigan
2005Kirk MorrisonLV — GM Al Davis era · San Diego St.
1992Gerald DixonCLE — GM Bill Belichick · South Carolina
1980Bill RoeDAL — GM Tex Schramm · Colorado

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