LB · pick 30 — first ever linebacker at #30 (1984)

LB·pick 30

FIRST LB EVER DRAFTED AT #30

Keith Browner

Drafted by TB — GM Phil Krueger · USC

1984

LBs drafted at #30 in NFL history

most recent: Nolan Smith (PHI, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1983, the model gave a linebacker at #30 a 14.7% chance in 1984.

Linebacker at #30, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 21.5% · 2027 model: 7.1%

Surrounding picks · 1984 draft

#25LBBilly CannonDAL — GM Tex Schramm
#26RBGreg BellBUF — GM Stew Barber
#27OGWilliam RobertsNYG — GM George Young
#28OTBrian BladosCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#29DTDoug SmithTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg
#31DTBob SlaterWAS — GM Bobby Beathard
#32SScott CaseATL — GM Tom Braatz
#33LBMike GuendlingLAC — GM Steve Ortmayer
#34LBScott RadecicKC — GM Jim Schaaf
#35DEBlaise WinterIND — GM Jim Irsay/staff

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

2023Nolan SmithPHI — GM Howie Roseman · Georgia
2017T.J. WattPIT — GM Kevin Colbert · Wisconsin
2013Alec OgletreeLAR — GM Les Snead · Georgia
2000Keith BulluckTEN — GM Floyd Reese · Syracuse
1995Craig PowellCLE — GM Bill Belichick · Ohio St.

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