Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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LB·pick 256

FIRST LB EVER DRAFTED AT #256

Jesse Luketa

Drafted by ARI — GM Steve Keim · Penn St.

2022

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2021, the model gave a linebacker at #256 a 11.4% chance in 2022.

Linebacker at #256, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%37.6% 2022: 11.4%

Peak: 37.6% · 2027 model: 7.2%

Surrounding picks · 2022 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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