Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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LB·pick 254

FIRST LB EVER DRAFTED AT #254

Sam Manuel

Drafted by SF — GM Carmen Policy · New Mexico St.

1996

3
LBs drafted at #254 in NFL history
most recent: Derrek Tuszka (DEN, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1995, the model gave a linebacker at #254 a 16.9% chance in 1996.

Linebacker at #254, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%36.7% 1996: 16.9%

Peak: 36.7% · 2027 model: 7.3%

🟡 Mr. Irrelevant cell

Last pick of the draft in 1 year.

Surrounding picks · 1996 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart