Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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LB·pick 253

FIRST LB EVER DRAFTED AT #253

Yawin Smallwood

Drafted by ATL — GM Thomas Dimitroff · Connecticut

2014

2
LBs drafted at #253 in NFL history
most recent: Xzavier Dickson (NE, 2015)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2013, the model gave a linebacker at #253 a 10.5% chance in 2014.

Linebacker at #253, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%36.3% 2014: 10.5%

Peak: 36.3% · 2027 model: 7.3%

Surrounding picks · 2014 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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