Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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LB·pick 238

FIRST LB EVER DRAFTED AT #238

Will Smith

Drafted by DAL — GM Jerry Jones · Texas Tech

2014

2
LBs drafted at #238 in NFL history
most recent: T.J. Brunson (NYG, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2013, the model gave a linebacker at #238 a 10.9% chance in 2014.

Linebacker at #238, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%31.2% 2014: 10.9%

Peak: 31.2% · 2027 model: 7.9%

Surrounding picks · 2014 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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