LB · pick 200 — first ever linebacker at #200 (1997)

LB·pick 200

FIRST LB EVER DRAFTED AT #200

Richard Hogans

Drafted by CHI — GM Mark Hatley · Memphis

1997

LBs drafted at #200 in NFL history

most recent: Emeke Egbule (LAC, 2019)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1996, the model gave a linebacker at #200 a 15.0% chance in 1997.

Linebacker at #200, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 26.0% · 2027 model: 8.9%

Surrounding picks · 1997 draft

#195WRIsaac ByrdKC — GM Carl Peterson
#196DEShawn SwaydaCHI — GM Mark Hatley
#197WRNigea CarterTB — GM Rich McKay
#198DTEd JasperPHI — GM Tom Modrak
#199DERod ManuelPIT — GM Tom Donahoe
#201SRicky ParkerCHI — GM Mark Hatley
#202SSteve RosgaNYJ — GM Bill Parcells
#203CBHudhaifa IsmaeliMIA — GM Jimmy Johnson
#204QBTony GrazianiATL — GM Harold Richardson
#205DEChris WardBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2019Emeke EgbuleLAC — GM Tom Telesco · Houston
2011Ross HomanMIN — GM Rick Spielman · Ohio St.
2008Joe MaysPHI — GM Tom Heckert · North Dakota St.
2004Charlie AndersonHOU — GM Charley Casserly · Mississippi

→ see this cell on the full chart