LB · pick 153 — first ever linebacker at #153 (1979)

LB·pick 153

FIRST LB EVER DRAFTED AT #153

Dave Simmons

Drafted by GB · North Carolina

1979

LBs drafted at #153 in NFL history

most recent: SirVocea Dennis (TB, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1978, the model gave a linebacker at #153 a 13.8% chance in 1979.

Linebacker at #153, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 22.5% · 2027 model: 10.1%

Surrounding picks · 1979 draft

#148LBJeff McIntyreDEN
#149OGDufek, BillBill DufekNYJ
#150OTMoore, JimJim MooreIND
#151SClinton BurrellCLE
#152TEJoe SenserMIN
#154QBMike MoroskiATL
#155CBLavender, TimTim LavenderDAL
#156CBHenry WilliamsLV
#157TEBill MurrellPIT
#158RBEddie HicksNYG

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 8 picks

2023SirVocea DennisTB — GM Jason Licht · Pittsburgh
2021Tony FieldsCLE — GM Andrew Berry · West Virginia
2015Kyle EmanuelLAC — GM Tom Telesco · North Dakota St.
2004Roderick GreenBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome · Central Missouri St.
1994Tony PetersonSF — GM Carmen Policy · Notre Dame
1993Rich McKenzieCLE — GM Bill Belichick · Penn St.
1985Joe KrakoskiTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg · Washington
1982Lamont JeffersWAS — GM Bobby Beathard · Tennessee

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