LB · pick 11 — first ever linebacker at #11 (1984)

LB·pick 11

FIRST LB EVER DRAFTED AT #11

Wilber Marshall

Drafted by CHI — GM Jerry Vainisi · Florida

1984

LBs drafted at #11 in NFL history

most recent: Patrick Willis (SF, 2007)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1983, the model gave a linebacker at #11 a 10.9% chance in 1984.

Linebacker at #11, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 21.4% · 2027 model: 7.3%

Surrounding picks · 1984 draft

#6SMossy CadeLAC — GM Steve Ortmayer
#7LBRicky HunleyCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#8CBLeonard ColemanIND — GM Jim Irsay/staff
#9DERick BryanATL — GM Tom Braatz
#10CBRussell CarterNYJ — GM Jim Kensil
#12DEAlphonso CarrekerGB — GM Forrest Gregg
#13DTKeith MillardMIN — GM Mike Lynn
#14LBJackie ShippMIA — GM Don Shula
#15DERon FaurotNYJ — GM Jim Kensil
#16DTPete KochCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2007Patrick WillisSF — GM Scot McCloughan · Mississippi
2005DeMarcus WareDAL — GM Jerry Jones · Troy
2001Dan MorganCAR — GM Dom Anile · Miami (FL)
1986Joe KellyCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Washington

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