Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DT·pick 78

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #78

Ervin Collier

Drafted by NE — GM Bill Parcells · Florida A&M

1994

3
DTs drafted at #78 in NFL history
most recent: Stalin Colinet (MIN, 1997)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1993, the model gave a defensive tackle at #78 a 8.6% chance in 1994.

Defensive tackle at #78, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%16.2% 1994: 8.6%

Peak: 16.2% · 2027 model: 11.5%

Surrounding picks · 1994 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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