DT · pick 64 — first ever defensive tackle at #64 (1978)

DT·pick 64

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #64

Lyman Smith

Drafted by MIA · Duke

1978

DTs drafted at #64 in NFL history

most recent: Zacch Pickens (CHI, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a defensive tackle at #64 a 8.8% chance in 1978.

Defensive tackle at #64, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 16.9% · 2027 model: 12.3%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

#59RBDennis JohnsonBUF
#60DTBarry BennettNO
#61TEMickey ShulerNYJ
#62CBEstus HoodGB
#63CBBob JurySEA
#65WRDanny FultonBUF
#66LBReggie WilkesPHI
#67RBLarry CollinsCLE
#68QBMark MillerCLE
#69CBDoug GreeneARI

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2023Zacch PickensCHI — GM Ryan Poles · South Carolina
2004Darnell DockettARI — GM Rod Graves · Florida St.
1990Jimmie JonesDAL — GM Jerry Jones · Miami (FL)
1980Myron LapkaNYG — GM George Young · USC

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