Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DT·pick 58

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #58

Montae Reagor

Drafted by DEN — GM Mike Shanahan · Texas Tech

1999

2
DTs drafted at #58 in NFL history
most recent: Trysten Hill (DAL, 2019)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1998, the model gave a defensive tackle at #58 a 6.7% chance in 1999.

Defensive tackle at #58, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%17.6% 1999: 6.7%

Peak: 17.6% · 2027 model: 12.7%

Surrounding picks · 1999 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

→ see this cell on the full chart