DT · pick 53 — first ever defensive tackle at #53 (2011)

DT·pick 53

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #53

Stephen Paea

Drafted by CHI — GM Jerry Angelo · Oregon St.

2011

DTs drafted at #53 in NFL history

most recent: Gervon Dexter (CHI, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2010, the model gave a defensive tackle at #53 a 7.5% chance in 2011.

Defensive tackle at #53, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 18.3% · 2027 model: 13.2%

Surrounding picks · 2011 draft

#48CStefen WisniewskiLV — GM Al Davis era
#49OTBen IjalanaIND — GM Bill Polian
#50SMarcus GilchristLAC — GM A.J. Smith
#51DEDa'Quan BowersTB — GM Mark Dominik
#52DTMarvin AustinNYG — GM Jerry Reese
#54SJaiquawn JarrettPHI — GM Howie Roseman
#55CRodney HudsonKC — GM Scott Pioli
#56RBShane VereenNE — GM Bill Belichick
#57RBMikel LeshoureDET — GM Martin Mayhew
#58WRTorrey SmithBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2023Gervon DexterCHI — GM Ryan Poles · Florida
2012Devon StillCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Penn St.

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