DT · pick 51 — first ever defensive tackle at #51 (2004)

DT·pick 51

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #51

Dwan Edwards

Drafted by BAL — GM Ozzie Newsome · Oregon St.

2004

DTs drafted at #51 in NFL history

most recent: Ego Ferguson (CHI, 2014)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a defensive tackle at #51 a 6.2% chance in 2004.

Defensive tackle at #51, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 18.6% · 2027 model: 13.4%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

#46OGJustin SmileySF — GM Terry Donahue
#47DTTank JohnsonCHI — GM Jerry Angelo
#48LBDontarrious ThomasMIN — GM Mike Tice / Brzezinski
#49CBKeiwan RatliffCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#50WRDevery HendersonNO — GM Mickey Loomis
#52OTJacob RogersDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#53SMichael BoulwareSEA — GM Mike Holmgren
#54WRDarius WattsDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#55RBGreg JonesJAX — GM James Harris
#56SMadieu WilliamsCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2014Ego FergusonCHI — GM Phil Emery · LSU
2012Jerel WorthyGB — GM Ted Thompson · Michigan St.

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