DT · pick 5 — first ever defensive tackle at #5 (1973)

DT·pick 5

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #5

Dave Butz

Drafted by ARI · Purdue

1973

DTs drafted at #5 in NFL history

most recent: Mason Graham (CLE, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1972, the model gave a defensive tackle at #5 a 11.0% chance in 1973.

Defensive tackle at #5, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 31.8% · 2027 model: 7.9%

Surrounding picks · 1973 draft

#1DEJohn MatuszakTEN
#2QBBert JonesIND
#3OTJerry SisemorePHI
#4OGJohn HannahNE
#6TECharle YoungPHI
#7TEPaul SeymourBUF
#8DEWally ChambersCHI
#9RBOtis ArmstrongDEN
#10DTJoe EhrmannIND

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2025Mason GrahamCLE — GM Andrew Berry · Michigan
2008Glenn DorseyKC — GM Carl Peterson · LSU
1984Bill MaasKC — GM Jim Schaaf · Pittsburgh
1977Gary JeterNYG · USC

→ see this cell on the full chart