DT · pick 48 — first ever defensive tackle at #48 (1973)

DT·pick 48

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #48

Gary Hrivnak

Drafted by CHI · Purdue

1973

DTs drafted at #48 in NFL history

most recent: Maason Smith (JAX, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1972, the model gave a defensive tackle at #48 a 7.0% chance in 1973.

Defensive tackle at #48, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 19.1% · 2027 model: 13.7%

Surrounding picks · 1973 draft

#43TEAlbert ChandlerCIN
#44RBLeon CrosswhiteDET
#45QBGary KeithleyARI
#46WRGolden RichardsDAL
#47CBJim StienkeCLE
#49LBMonte JohnsonLV
#51DESteve BaumgartnerNO
#52CChuck BradleyMIA
#53DEHarvey MartinDAL
#54OGPaul HowardDEN

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2024Maason SmithJAX — GM Trent Baalke · LSU
2014Timmy JerniganBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome · Florida St.
1999Russell DavisCHI — GM Mark Hatley · North Carolina

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