DT · pick 46 — first ever defensive tackle at #46 (1978)

DT·pick 46

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #46

Johnson, StanStan Johnson

Drafted by LAR · Tennessee State

1978

DTs drafted at #46 in NFL history

most recent: Keion White (NE, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a defensive tackle at #46 a 9.8% chance in 1978.

Defensive tackle at #46, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 19.4% · 2027 model: 14.0%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

#41OTMilton HardawayLAC
#42LBJohn BarefieldARI
#43LBSteve StewartATL
#44OGBrett MoritzTB
#45RBDave TurnerCIN
#47OGWalt DowningSF
#48CBJohn TurnerMIN
#49DEWillie FryPIT
#50QBMatt CavanaughNE
#51QBGuy BenjaminMIA

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2023Keion WhiteNE — GM Bill Belichick · Georgia Tech
2016A'Shawn RobinsonDET — GM Bob Quinn · Alabama
2010Linval JosephNYG — GM Jerry Reese · East Carolina
1986Erik HowardNYG — GM George Young · Washington St.

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