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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DT·pick 45

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #45

James Manley

Drafted by MIN — GM Frank Gilliam · Vanderbilt

1996

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1995, the model gave a defensive tackle at #45 a 8.2% chance in 1996.

Defensive tackle at #45, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%19.6% 1996: 8.2%

Peak: 19.6% · 2027 model: 14.1%

Surrounding picks · 1996 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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