Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DT·pick 44

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #44

Jim Bailey

Drafted by IND · Kansas

1970

3
DTs drafted at #44 in NFL history
most recent: Kawann Short (CAR, 2013)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1969, the model gave a defensive tackle at #44 a 4.9% chance in 1970.

Defensive tackle at #44, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%19.8% 1970: 4.9%

Peak: 19.8% · 2027 model: 14.2%

Surrounding picks · 1970 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart