DT · pick 30 — first ever defensive tackle at #30 (1975)

DT·pick 30

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #30

Louie Kelcher

Drafted by LAC · SMU

1975

DTs drafted at #30 in NFL history

most recent: Gregory Rousseau (BUF, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1974, the model gave a defensive tackle at #30 a 8.8% chance in 1975.

Defensive tackle at #30, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 22.2% · 2027 model: 15.7%

Surrounding picks · 1975 draft

#25DEMark MullaneyMIN
#26CBDave BrownPIT
#27OTSimpson, AlAl SimpsonNYG
#28CBMonte JacksonLAR
#29LBRalph OrtegaATL
#31DEMike HartenstineCHI
#32CLee GrossNO
#33DEFred DeanLAC
#34TEStephens, ElmoreElmore StephensKC
#35LBGreg CollinsSF

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2021Gregory RousseauBUF — GM Brandon Beane · Miami (FL)
2016Vernon ButlerCAR — GM Dave Gettleman · Louisiana Tech
2011Muhammad WilkersonNYJ — GM Mike Tannenbaum · Temple

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