DT · pick 3 — first ever defensive tackle at #3 (1985)

DT·pick 3

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #3

Ray Childress

Drafted by TEN — GM Ladd Herzeg · Texas A&M

1985

DTs drafted at #3 in NFL history

most recent: Quinnen Williams (NYJ, 2019)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1984, the model gave a defensive tackle at #3 a 7.5% chance in 1985.

Defensive tackle at #3, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 39.2% · 2027 model: 4.6%

Surrounding picks · 1985 draft

#1DEBruce SmithBUF — GM Bill Polian
#2OGBill FralicATL — GM Tom Braatz
#4DEChris DolemanMIN — GM Mike Lynn
#5LBDuane BickettIND — GM Jim Irsay/staff
#6OTLomas BrownDET — GM Russ Thomas
#7OTKen RuettgersGB — GM Forrest Gregg
#8DERon HolmesTB — GM Phil Krueger

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

2019Quinnen WilliamsNYJ — GM Mike Maccagnan · Alabama
2011Marcell DareusBUF — GM Buddy Nix · Alabama
2010Gerald McCoyTB — GM Mark Dominik · Oklahoma
2001Gerard WarrenCLE — GM Dwight Clark · Florida
1992Sean GilbertLAR — GM John Shaw · Pittsburgh
1990Cortez KennedySEA — GM Tom Flores/Behring · Miami (FL)

→ see this cell on the full chart