Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DT·pick 29

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #29

Doug Smith

Drafted by TEN — GM Ladd Herzeg · Auburn

1984

9
DTs drafted at #29 in NFL history
most recent: Peter Woods (KC, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1983, the model gave a defensive tackle at #29 a 7.4% chance in 1984.

Defensive tackle at #29, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%22.3% 1984: 7.4%

Peak: 22.3% · 2027 model: 15.7%

Surrounding picks · 1984 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 8 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart