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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DT·pick 251

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #251

Pernell Davis

Drafted by PHI — GM Tom Modrak · Ala-Birmingham

1999

3
DTs drafted at #251 in NFL history
most recent: Uar Bernard (PHI, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1998, the model gave a defensive tackle at #251 a 8.7% chance in 1999.

Defensive tackle at #251, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%20.6% 1999: 8.7%

Peak: 20.6% · 2027 model: 13.6%

Surrounding picks · 1999 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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