DT · pick 246 — first ever defensive tackle at #246 (2017)

DT·pick 246

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #246

Jordan Carrell

Drafted by DAL — GM Jerry Jones · Colorado

2017

DTs drafted at #246 in NFL history

most recent: Joshua Frazier (PIT, 2018)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2016, the model gave a defensive tackle at #246 a 6.2% chance in 2017.

Defensive tackle at #246, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 19.9% · 2027 model: 13.5%

Surrounding picks · 2017 draft

#241RBKhalfani MuhammadTEN — GM Jon Robinson
#242RBElijah HoodLV — GM Reggie McKenzie
#243CKyle FullerHOU — GM Rick Smith
#244DTTreyvon HesterLV — GM Reggie McKenzie
#245CBJack TochoMIN — GM Rick Spielman
#247WRMalachi DupreGB — GM Ted Thompson
#248LBKeion AdamsPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#249RBChris CarsonSEA — GM John Schneider
#250DEPat O'ConnorDET — GM Bob Quinn
#251TEMason SchreckCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2018Joshua FrazierPIT — GM Kevin Colbert · Alabama

→ see this cell on the full chart