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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DT·pick 245

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #245

Lionel Dotson

Drafted by MIA — GM Jeff Ireland · Arizona

2008

3
DTs drafted at #245 in NFL history
most recent: Chris Slayton (NYG, 2019)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2007, the model gave a defensive tackle at #245 a 8.6% chance in 2008.

Defensive tackle at #245, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%19.8% 2008: 8.6%

Peak: 19.8% · 2027 model: 13.5%

Surrounding picks · 2008 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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