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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DT·pick 241

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #241

Chad Eaton

Drafted by ARI — GM Larry Wilson · Washington St.

1995

5
DTs drafted at #241 in NFL history
most recent: Jared Smith (SEA, 2013)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1994, the model gave a defensive tackle at #241 a 4.0% chance in 1995.

Defensive tackle at #241, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%19.3% 1995: 4.0%

Peak: 19.3% · 2027 model: 13.4%

Surrounding picks · 1995 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

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