DT · pick 228 — first ever defensive tackle at #228 (2012)

DT·pick 228

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #228

Jeris Pendleton

Drafted by JAX — GM Gene Smith · Ashland

2012

DTs drafted at #228 in NFL history

most recent: Joey Ivie (DAL, 2017)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2011, the model gave a defensive tackle at #228 a 8.1% chance in 2012.

Defensive tackle at #228, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 18.1% · 2027 model: 13.1%

Surrounding picks · 2012 draft

#223LBTravis LewisDET — GM Martin Mayhew
#224CBAlfonzo DennardNE — GM Bill Belichick
#225DTJ.R. SweezySEA — GM John Schneider
#226CDavid MolkLAC — GM A.J. Smith
#227WRRishard MatthewsMIA — GM Jeff Ireland
#229RBBryce BrownPHI — GM Howie Roseman
#230LBNathan StuparLV — GM Reggie McKenzie
#231WRToney ClemonsPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#232DEGreg ScruggsSEA — GM John Schneider
#233TEDrake DunsmoreTB — GM Mark Dominik

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2017Joey IvieDAL — GM Jerry Jones · Florida

→ see this cell on the full chart