Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DT·pick 226

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #226

Christian Ferrara

Drafted by SF — GM Terry Donahue · Syracuse

2004

4
DTs drafted at #226 in NFL history
most recent: Landon Robinson (CIN, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a defensive tackle at #226 a 10.1% chance in 2004.

Defensive tackle at #226, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%18.0% 2004: 10.1%

Peak: 18.0% · 2027 model: 13.1%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart