DT · pick 217 — first ever defensive tackle at #217 (1997)

DT·pick 217

FIRST DT EVER DRAFTED AT #217

William Carr

Drafted by CIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Michigan

1997

DTs drafted at #217 in NFL history

most recent: Jay Toia (DAL, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1996, the model gave a defensive tackle at #217 a 7.3% chance in 1997.

Defensive tackle at #217, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 17.4% · 2027 model: 12.9%

Surrounding picks · 1997 draft

#212DTMark SmithARI — GM Bob Ferguson
#213WRChris MillerGB — GM Ron Wolf
#214OTNathan ParksKC — GM Carl Peterson
#215DECedric WhiteLAR — GM John Shaw / Jay Zygmunt
#216SArmon WilliamsTEN — GM Floyd Reese
#218LBToran JamesLAC — GM Bobby Beathard
#220LBArtie UlmerMIN — GM Frank Gilliam
#221LBJon HesseJAX — GM Tom Coughlin
#222SChris BayneATL — GM Harold Richardson
#223WRMike AdamsPIT — GM Tom Donahoe

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2025Jay ToiaDAL — GM Jerry Jones · UCLA
2015Rakeem Nunez-RochesKC — GM John Dorsey · Southern Miss

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